GOP won 3 million more votes this year, but not where it counted — poll says
The state of the election in Pennsylvania, from the most recent polls — and how much more people voted for the Republican National Committee’s candidate than the Democratic one — is a matter of debate, of course.
Here’s what we know:
The most recent poll had a margin of error of plus or minus five percentage points. The new poll from Harrisburg showed Clinton and Trump leading in the state by 2.4 percentage points, a margin of error that’s slightly higher than the five percentage-point margin of error from the most recent Pennsylvanian Post-Gazette poll.
Trump’s statewide margin from the new poll fell within the poll’s plus or minus five percentage points of margin of error.
If Pennsylvania voters are still confused by the presidential election, they didn’t show any in the most recent poll. Trump led Clinton by 2.4 percentage points, and Sanders by a similar amount.
The most recent poll put Trump ahead of Clinton in the state by 2.4 percentage points. (Pennsylvania Politics)
The most recent poll found Clinton ahead by 2.4 percentage points in Pennsylvania, but only by the margin of error of 1.2 percentage points. (Harrisburg Patriot News)
Clinton and Trump won some of the most populated counties in the most recent poll. They held a narrow lead in Philadelphia County, which includes more people than the next nine counties combined and accounted for 15.8 percent of the election results from the most recent poll. But, Trump won Chester County, which contains nearly one in five voting-eligible Pennsylvania residents and accounts for more than 14 percent of the results from the most recent poll (and nearly a third of the 2016 electorate).
The new Clinton-Trump margin from Harrisburg is about the same size as the margin from the most recent Post-Gazette poll. (Pennsylvanian Politics)
Trump won Chester County — which, at the time of this writing, includes more than one in five voting-eligible residents and is home to nearly 3 million people — by 837 votes over Clinton’s 1,724 margin of victory, or 0.9 of a percentage point margin.
The statewide results from Harris